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Daily Market Analysis
Lenzi's daily technical reads — structure, key levels, and scenarios. Published every morning and evening.
SPY Technical Analysis — April 17, 2026 Morning
SPY cleared $700 after four touches this week, rallying 48 points in 8 sessions off Monday's $659 low. But only 58% of the up-days had real volume backing, and Friday's gap higher came on light pre-market participation. The level flipped; the volume question didn't.
SPY Technical Analysis — April 16, 2026 Morning
SPY tagged a new 11-month high at $700.28 Wednesday and closed $699.94 — but buyers couldn't hold the round number. Five green sessions, volume fading each day, and the Fed's own report says companies are in wait-and-see mode on Iran. The question heading into the open is whether buyers clear $700 decisively or $679 gives.
Is MSFT's Bottom In? — Structural Read, April 14, 2026
MSFT is testing the $381 flip level with 4 consecutive bear impulses averaging −13.2% vs weak +6.8% bounces. Is this a bottom or compression before another leg down? Three timeframes answer the question.
NFLX Pre-Earnings Structure Read — April 14, 2026
Netflix reports Thursday AMC with EPS est $0.77. Price is parked between $100 support and $107 resistance — classic pre-earnings compression. RSI 72 overbought, volume drying up. Big move coming either way.
Burry's PLTR Short Thesis vs The Chart — April 14, 2026
Michael Burry publicly bet against Palantir — thesis: Anthropic is a serious threat, could drop 60%. Put the headline aside. The chart shows a 75-day falling wedge with two defined paths. Short thesis dies on a close above $140.
SPY Technical Analysis — April 14, 2026 Morning
SPY bounced +1.3% off $675.78 Monday — a level tested 5 times. The ceiling at $693.68 has 3 touches and hasn't been tapped in 6 weeks. Which side of the 2.6% box breaks first?
SPY Technical Analysis — April 10, 2026 Evening
Morning drew two lines at $685 and $658. Friday never touched either one. A tighter range formed inside — $682 rejected on 995K, $678.50 held 4x.
SPY Technical Analysis — April 10, 2026 Morning
SPY gapped 2.5% higher Wednesday with 94M shares — heaviest volume in 10 days. But Thursday's follow-through came on just 57M shares. What does that tell us?
SPY Technical Analysis — April 9, 2026 Evening
SPY closed $679.91, up 0.75%. A rising wedge peaked at $681.16 with 5 touches on resistance — and 4.8M shares in the final bar couldn't break it.
SPY Technical Analysis — April 9, 2026 Morning
SPY gapped 2.6% higher Wednesday but closed right at the gap level. 94M shares traded — below average. Was it accumulation or just gap-filling?
SPY Technical Analysis — April 8, 2026 Evening
Ceasefire gap cleared $660 resistance by $17 — SPY opened at $676.39, but a six-hour triangle broke down at 6:15pm. Close at $675.87 in the bottom 25% of range.
DAL Pre-Earnings Structure Read — April 8, 2026
Delta closed at $65.62 (-1.77%) and reports BMO tomorrow. EPS est $0.61 — but fuel guidance is the real number.
SPY Technical Analysis — April 8, 2026 Morning
SPY rejected the falling resistance line at $658.52 on Wednesday (April 1st). Can bulls break through at $659 with overnight news momentum?
SPY Technical Analysis — April 7, 2026 Evening
SPY broke above falling resistance at the close, gaining 0.4% to $659.27 — highest finish in 6 days.
SPY Technical Analysis — April 7, 2026 Morning
SPY volume collapsed to 39M shares Monday — 60% below the 20-day average. Yet price closed up 0.5% near session highs. What's driving this quiet strength?
SPY Technical Analysis — April 6, 2026 Evening
SPY closed at $658.87, up 0.07% after rejecting the morning's $658.52 resistance target.
SPY Technical Analysis — April 6, 2026 Morning
SPY bounced 4.6% in just two sessions from the Monday low of $629.28 to Wednesday's $658.52 high.
SPY Technical Analysis — April 1, 2026 Evening
SPY closed +0.2% at $655.17, range $653.0-$658.52, volume 83.7M shares.
SPY Technical Analysis — April 1, 2026 Morning
SPY crashed 17 points in 5 days, then bounced 19 points Tuesday. Was that capitulation or a dead cat bounce?